The initial announcement at Computex 2019 followed by the 16-core unveil at E3 2019, everyone has set their eyes on the July 7, 2019 release date of the upcoming Ryzen 3000 series CPUs. Everyone has high expectations with AMD’s 7nm chips as it beats Intel’s 14nm and 10nm technology. Alongside the announcement are their respective SRPs. However, the pricing doesn’t guarantee an exact 1:1 exchange rate conversions. Some regions will have a very close-to-SRP local price while others have up to a 30% premium, especially developing countries.
Enthusiasts generally put a 20% to 30% premium over the US’ Suggested Retail Pricing while others just consider FOREx.
Both methods are accurate to a certain degree as there are numerous factors to be considered such as the margin for distributors & retailers, FOREx, and Quantity orders. Taking all that into account makes the calculation more complex as some values are not available to the general public such as distributor price, Minimum Order Quantity(MOQ) and even percentage margins. We’ve devised a simple calculation based on key factors and historical trends to estimate the PH price of the upcoming Ryzen 3rd generation processors.
How did we do it? Let’s first take a look at the 1st-Gen Ryzen prices.
- We do not guarantee the same calculated price will be followed on the 7/7 launch.
- Take this with a grain of salt 😉
|SKU||Launch Price(USD)||Converted Price (Forex Rate = 50.17)||PH Launch Price(PCHub)||PH Price Premium|
|Ryzen 7 1800X||$499||Php 25,034.83||Php 27,790||11%|
|Ryzen 7 1700X||$399||Php 20,017.83||Php 21,370||7%|
|Ryzen 7 1700||$329||Php 16,505.93||Php 17,690||7%|
|Ryzen 5 1600X||$249||Php 12,492.33||Php 13,800||10%|
|Ryzen 5 1600||$219||Php 10,987.23||Php 11,995||9%|
|Ryzen 5 1500X||$189||Php 9,482.13||Php 10,500||11%|
|Ryzen 5 1400||$169||Php 8,478.73||Php 9,250||9%|
|Ryzen 3 1300X||$129||Php 6,471.93||Php 7,340||13%|
|Ryzen 3 1200||$109||Php 5,468.53||Php 6,230||14%|
The table shows the respective launch prices in USD of every 1st-gen Ryzen CPU SKU together with its converted price. The exchange rate of $1 USD to Php 50.17 was taken from March 2, 2017, where the Ryzen 7 SKUs were first launched. We then used PCHub’s pricing as a reference for our PH Launch Price. The PH Price Premium shows the difference of the PH Launch Price and the Converted Price of each SKU. PH Price Premium shows how much amount was added to the converted price to get the exact launch price.
Based on the data, the premium ranges from 7% to 14%. Moreover, the lowest premium is on the Ryzen 1700X and 1700 CPUs while the CPU with the largest premium is the Ryzen 3 1200. Meaning, the Ryzen 7 1700X and non-X are the cheapest processors as far as converted price goes while the Ryzen 3 1200 is the most expensive. The average premium for the 1st-gen processors is 10%
Moving on to the Ryzen 2nd gen table
|SKU||Launch Price(USD)||Converted Price (Forex Rate = 52.04)||PH Price(PCHub)||PH Price Premium|
|Ryzen 7 2700X||$329||Php 17,779.16||Php 19,000||7%|
|Ryzen 7 2700||$299||Php 16,157.96||Php 17,600||9%|
|Ryzen 5 2600X||$229||Php 12,375.16||Php 12,750||3%|
|Ryzen 5 2600||$199||Php 10,753.96||Php 11,300||5%|
|Ryzen 5 2400G||$169||Php 9,132.76||Php 8,825||-3%|
|Ryzen 3 2200G||$99||Php 5,349.96||Php 5,750||7%|
The Dollar to Peso exchange rate in June 2018 is noticeably higher by 2 pesos compared to March 2017. So it is expected that the 2000 series prices in terms of price conversion are higher due to foreign exchange. But the 2nd gen Ryzen processors tell a different story. In the previous tables, the Ryzen 7s were the cheapest while the lowest SKU(Ryzen 3 1200) was the most expensive. Again, in terms of how close the processors are to the converted price. One of the possible reasons for the vast change of premiums is the quantity ordered. Generally, the larger quantity(be it a specific SKU) a retailer orders, the cheaper price per unit is given by the distributor. Thus, the cheaper PCHub price of the Ryzen 5 2400G compared to the converted price from SRP. The average PH Price Premium of the 2nd gen CPUs is 5%.
What does the average 10% and 5% Premiums mean?
The average premiums will be used to determine the possible PH Price of the Ryzen processors. To make it simple, we used a “FIND X” approach using the historical data of the 1st and 2nd gen processors to estimate the prices of the upcoming Ryzen 3000 series CPUs. Based on the data collected of both generations, there are 3 possible Price Premium values that can be used to calculate the price. We can take the average the two tables resulting in a Price Premium of 7.5% or just take the lowest/highest price premium and call it a day. While the more accurate approach is to take the 7.5% premium, we’ve decided to use a 10% premium instead to give a breathing room for other factors such as supply and demand.
Ryzen 3000 PH Price Table
|SKU||Launch Price(USD)||Converted Price(Forex 51.44)||Estimated PH PRICE (10%)|
|Ryzen 9 3900X||$499||Php 25,668.56||Php 28,235.416|
|Ryzen 9 3800X||$399||Php 20,524.56||Php 22,577.016|
|Ryzen 7 3700X||$329||Php 16,923.76||Php 18,616.136|
|Ryzen 5 3600X||$249||Php 12,808.56||Php 14,089.416|
|Ryzen 5 3600||$199||Php 10,236.56||Php 11,260.216|
As of writing, the reported exchange rate is Php 51.44 which is lower by 0.6 pesos compared to last generations FOREx. Based on the calculation, The Ryzen 9 3900X is expected to hover more or less Php 28k while the more mainstream Ryzen 7 3700X is targeted around Php 18.5k. The Php 4,000 price gap between the Ryzen 5 3600X and the Ryzen 7 3700X will most likely be filled with the Ryzen 7 3700 featuring a slower base and boost clock than the 3700X.
Intel vs AMD
|Intel||PCHub Price||Difference||Estimated Price||AMD|
|i9 9900K||27,990||245||28,235||Ryzen 9 3900X|
|i7 9700K||21,990||587||22,577||Ryzen 7 3800X|
|i7 8700||17,020||1,596||18,616||Ryzen 7 3700X|
|i5 9600K||15,180||1,091||14,089||Ryzen 5 3600X|
|i5 9400||10,620||640||11,260||Ryzen 5 3600|
How do the estimated prices fare against Intel’s offerings? On the flagship side of things, Intel is cheaper by a small amount compared to the overhead price while AMD wins on the mainstream segment.
How much should I save?
Depending on what processor you should buy, saving a bit more could help you secure the exact PH price needed to cop your desired 3rd gen processor. I recommend rounding up to the nearest thousand for the extra Jollibee funds on your trip to Gilmore and to anticipate the Supply &and Demand for Ryzen 3rd Gen. It is also expected that the lower end models will be priced substantially higher than the flagship ones(in terms of converted price) to entice the customer to just go for a higher end model because of the tiny difference in amount. Another thing to note is the price for the X570 motherboards. The RMS, the X570 chipset itself and the PCI-E 4.0 implementation are factors for the substantial price increase compared to X470 motherboards. I recommend saving at least Php 10,000 to Php 15,000 for an X570 motherboard depending on your overclocking needs.
Ohh, and the $749 Ryzen 3950X 16-core/32-thread CPU is estimated to be priced at Php 42,381. We didn’t forget about the power users 😀